Market Research White Papers | Economist Intelligence Unit

Global economic outlook

thomasbeard — Wed, 29 May 2024 16:55:16 +0000

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Promising growth despite headwinds

Geopolitical risk and high interest rates are continuing to weigh on the outlook, but the global economy is showing remarkable resilience—to find out what’s powering this resilience and uncover our 2024 forecast, download our free report.

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Insights from this report:

Global power changes are leading to greater conflict, competition and reconfigurations in the global economy

Despite headwinds, the immediate growth outlook is fairly positive, thanks to the remarkable strength of the US economy

Although the worst of the cost-of-living crisis is over, inflation levels won’t return to pre-pandemic levels

Stubborn inflation will limit the scope of monetary policy loosening

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The Gulf Co-operation Council's expanding African footprint

EIU’s latest report examines the industries that GCC investors are watching closely in Africa. Understand the economic and political motives driving investments and the implications of deepening ties between the GCC and African countries.

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North America: regional outlook summary

Despite ongoing geopolitical turmoil, the regional economy has proven to be quite resilient. Canada’s economy is forecast to grow by 1.7% in 2024, supported by the strength of the US market. However, with a Biden-Trump rematch looming, political and policy risk remain high.

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The Middle East: regional outlook summary

Despite economic growth for the region, the Middle East faces uncertainty as the Israel-Hamas war continues to destabilise geopolitics. Uncover expert insights and the critical trends shaping the Middle East in our report.

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Country Analysis

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Understand a country's political, policy and economic outlook with EIU’s award-winning forecasts, analysis and data. Our Country Analysis service examines the global dynamics that will affect your organisation, empowering you to plan for the future.

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

Plan effectively with EIU’s expert analysis and data on the operational risk factors affecting your strategy, including current and future threats to cyber-security, political stability and climate-change management.

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Speaker Bureau

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The Gulf Co-operation Council’s expanding African footprint

Jenna Zar — Wed, 15 May 2024 13:24:22 +0000

EIU report

The Gulf Co-operation Council’s expanding African footprint

The Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) member states—especially Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar—are already major investors in Africa and appear intent on increasing their exposure to the region.

EIU’s latest report examines the industries that GCC investors are watching closely in Africa. Understand the economic and political motives driving investments and the implications of deepening ties between the GCC and African countries.

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Themes covered in this report:

The economic trends shaping bilateral trade between the GCC and Africa

Which logistics routes the GCC states aim to secure access to

How the GCC states plan to target African resources

The benefits that GCC investments will bring to Africa

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Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

Understand the political, policy and economic outlook with EIU’s award-winning forecasts, analysis and data. Our Country Analysis service examines the global dynamics that will affect your organisation, empowering you to plan for the future.

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

Plan effectively with EIU’s expert analysis and data on the risk factors affecting your strategy, including current and future threats to cyber-security, political stability and climate-change management.

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Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

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The post The Gulf Co-operation Council’s expanding African footprint appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.

North America: regional outlook summary

thomasbeard — Wed, 08 May 2024 21:44:14 +0000

EIU report

North America: regional outlook summary

Despite ongoing geopolitical turmoil, the regional economy has proven to be quite resilient. We forecast that the US economy will expand by 2.2% in 2024. Meanwhile, Canada’s economy is forecast to grow by 1.9%, supported by the strength of the US market and strong commodity prices. However, with a Biden-Trump rematch looming, political and policy risk remain high.

Download EIU’s latest report to learn more about the critical trends and threats that will shape the economic, political and policy landscape in North America.

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Themes covered in this report:

US growth will prove resilient in 2024, strengthening Canada’s economy in the process

The avoidance of a recession in the US is unusual compared to past cycles

Industrial policy in the United States won’t shift decisively under either a second Biden or Trump presidency

Prospects are poor for advancing new legislation before US elections in November

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The Middle East: regional outlook summary

Despite economic growth for the region, the Middle East faces uncertainty as the Israel-Hamas war continues to destabilise geopolitics. Discover expert insights and critical trends within the Middle East that will empower you to make informed and strategic decisions.

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Five global risks

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Five risks to watch in Europe for 2024

This report dives into five risks that businesses should watch in Europe as uncertainty over the region’s political, economic and geopolitical outlook deepens.

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Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

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Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

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The post North America: regional outlook summary appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.

The Middle East: regional outlook summary

Jenna Zar — Wed, 24 Apr 2024 11:38:46 +0000

EIU report

The Middle East: regional outlook summary

Despite economic growth for the region, the Middle East faces uncertainty as the Israel-Hamas war continues to destabilise geopolitics.

EIU’s latest report provides expert insights and critical trends within the Middle East, empowering you to make informed and strategic decisions.

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Themes covered in this report:

A lasting agreement for Gaza will be challenging to find

Why a multi-front proxy war is a high risk

The spillover effects from the attacks in the Red Sea

The security threat posed by Iran and its relations with the GCC states

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Five global risks

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Assessing the best places for doing business

Singapore topped our latest rankings, followed by Denmark and the US. Greece’s score improved by the largest margin, reflecting the impact of a pro-business government that has undertaken reforms, cut taxes and boosted business confidence.

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Global economic outlook

The continued geopolitical tensions, stoked by the Israel-Hamas war, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US-China rivalry, will lead to economic fragmentation and supply-chain reorganisation. Explore how this will affect the global outlook for 2024 in our report.

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Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

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Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

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The post The Middle East: regional outlook summary appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.

Five global risks

thomasbeard — Wed, 17 Apr 2024 15:17:26 +0000

EIU report

Five global risks

Geopolitical volatility is increasing and further changes in the global distribution of power will lead to a more competitive, fragmented world. Meanwhile, the US presidential election has the potential to further disrupt global trade and security alliances.

EIU’s latest report assesses the likelihood of five critical risks and outlines the economic repercussions these scenarios would have on global operating environments.

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Five risks to watch in Europe for 2024

EIU’s latest report dives into five risks that businesses should watch in Europe as uncertainty over the region’s political, economic and geopolitical outlook deepens.

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Asia: regional outlook summary

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Assessing the best places for doing business

EIU’s business environment rankings assess 91 indicators to give a comprehensive measure of the attractiveness of doing business in 82 countries and territories. Download our summary report to dive into two decades’ worth of data and explore the correlation between a country’s improvement in the rankings and GDP per head.

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Download the free report

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Explore our solutions

Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

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Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

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The post Five global risks appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.

Five risks to watch in Europe for 2024

Jenna Zar — Wed, 03 Apr 2024 08:11:03 +0000

EIU report

Five risks to watch in Europe for 2024

EIU’s latest report dives into five risks that businesses should watch in Europe as uncertainty over the region’s political, economic and geopolitical outlook deepens.

These scenarios are all below 50% probability and are not part of EIU’s core forecast, but are important to monitor as they could significantly fracture operations, if they materialise.

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Risk scenarios covered in this report:

A Trump victory in the US forces Ukraine to accept a peace deal

Cyber interference disrupts European Parliament elections

The European economy experiences a hard landing

Extreme weather events severely disrupt supply chains

Rising debt levels trigger bond market jitters

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Assessing the best places for doing business

Singapore topped our latest rankings, followed by Denmark and the US. Greece’s score improved by the largest margin—reflecting the effect of a pro-business government that has undertaken reforms, cut taxes and boosted business confidence.

Download free

Global economic outlook

Continued geopolitical tensions, stoked by the Israel-Hamas war, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and US-China rivalry, will lead to economic fragmentation and supply-chain reorganisation. Explore how this will affect the global outlook for 2024 in our report.

Download free

The war in Ukraine: no breakthrough in 2024

Despite significant economic headwinds facing Europe, the most pressing developments to monitor next year will be the performance of new governments and decarbonisation efforts. Explore the trends that will shape the economic, political and policy landscape in the region.

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Explore our solutions

Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

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Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

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Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

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The post Five risks to watch in Europe for 2024 appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.

Asia: regional outlook summary

Lucia Garcia — Wed, 27 Mar 2024 12:43:31 +0000

EIU report

Asia: regional outlook summary

Asia’s growth is set to outpace other regions, despite economic headwinds stemming from supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical strains. China’s growth is expected to slow as property sector stress and government debt challenges loom. India will be a bright spot in the region as growth momentum will pick up.

Download EIU’s latest report to learn more about the critical trends and threats that will shape the economic, political and policy landscape in Asia.

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Themes covered in this report:

Growth in Asia is decelerating but is set to outpace other regions

China’s growth is expected to slow, but services sector demand will remain a bright spot

Export-oriented economies in Asia are set to benefit as the global electronics cycle picks up

The effects of EI Niño and food export bans will fuel inflationary pressure

US-China rivalry will shape Asia’s geopolitical landscape

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Business environment rankings

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The impact of Red Sea disruption on Asia

Aattacks on ships in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Houthis have upended trade in Asia. Goods are now being transported via lengthier shipping routes or costlier air options. Download our free report to learn more about how these developments have affected trade in the region.

Download free

Global economic outlook

Continued geopolitical tensions, stoked by the Israel-Hamas war, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US-China rivalry, will lead to economic fragmentation and supply-chain reorganisation. Explore how this will affect the global outlook for 2024 in our report.

Download free

Explore our solutions

Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

Find out more

Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

Find out more

Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

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The post Asia: regional outlook summary appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.

Assessing the best places for doing business

Lucia Garcia — Wed, 20 Mar 2024 09:31:55 +0000

EIU report

Assessing the best places for doing business

EIU’s business environment rankings assess 91 indicators to give a comprehensive measure of the attractiveness of doing business in 82 countries and territories.

Singapore topped our latest rankings, followed by Denmark and the US. Greece’s score improved by the largest margin—reflecting the impact of a pro-business government that has undertaken reforms, cut taxes and boosted business confidence.

Download our summary report to dive into two decades’ worth of data and explore the correlation between a country’s improvement in the rankings and GDP per head.

Download free

Topics included in this report:

The best places to do business today

The countries that have moved most significantly in our rankings

Do business-friendly reforms lead to stronger growth?

Countries with weak business environments that are poised to improve

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Global economic outlook

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The war in Ukraine: no breakthrough in 2024

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The impact of Red Sea disruption on Asia

Recent attacks on ships in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Houthis have upended trade in Asia. Goods are now being transported via lengthier shipping routes or costlier air options. Download our free report to learn more about how these developments have affected trade in the region.

Download free

Explore our solutions

Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

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Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

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The post Assessing the best places for doing business appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.

Global economic outlook

thomasbeard — Tue, 27 Feb 2024 15:56:14 +0000

EIU report

Strong US economy drives global growth upgrade

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Topics included in this report:

How rising geopolitical competition could affect growth potential

Whether the global economy will slip into recession amid continued high interest rates

The impact of the Israel-Hamas war on consumer prices

The fiscal outlook as monetary policy tightening ends

Growth opportunities in emerging markets, AI and green industries

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Democracy Index 2023

EIU’s Democracy Index report analyses the relationship between democracy, war and peace, and assesses the geopolitical drivers of conflict.

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Worldwide Cost of Living 2023

In 2023 global prices rose by 7.4% on average, despite the easing of supply-chain disruptions and rising interest rates. Discover which cities the cost-of-living crisis is affecting the most in EIU’s latest report.

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Infrastructure opportunities in Latin America

Latin America’s infrastructure remains below par by international standards, limiting competitiveness and economic growth. Learn more about the private investment opportunities across the region in our latest report.

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Country Analysis

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

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Speaker Bureau

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The war in Ukraine: no breakthrough in 2024

PMG Team — Wed, 21 Feb 2024 09:08:37 +0000

EIU report

Russia-Ukraine War: no breakthrough in 2024

Two years since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Russia occupies almost a fifth of Ukraine’s territory, including in Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson. Both sides have suffered heavy loss—and as peace talks remain a distant prospect, there are no signs of the end of the Ukraine War. How will geopolitical risks and relationships influence support for Ukraine in 2024?

EIU’s latest report on the Ukraine War provides businesses with foresight of the critical global trends and risks that will emerge in 2024 as a result.

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Topics included in this report:

The effect of war fatigue on international military backing

How political risks could compromise Western support

Why neither side in the Russia-Ukraine war is willing to negotiate peace talks

The long road to recovery and reconstruction after the war

Global Outlook: the war in Ukraine

In EIU’s Global Outlook video from March 2024, regional director for Europe, Emily Mansfield, and senior analyst, Adeline Van Houtte, discuss the outlook and analysis for the war in Ukraine.

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Democracy Index 2023

In 2023 the global average index score fell to a new low. Most of the regression occurred among the non-democracies, suggesting that “authoritarian regimes” are becoming more entrenched and “hybrid regimes” are struggling to democratise. War and conflict, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine War, have also dented the global democracy score.

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Commodities outlook 2024

After three years of extreme volatility, commodities prices are set to broadly stabilise in 2024. However, adverse weather conditions, escalating geopolitical tensions and soaring shipping costs are among the risks to watch.

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Europe outlook 2024

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Explore our solutions

Country Analysis

Prepare for what’s ahead

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Operational Risk

Identify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 markets

Plan effectively with EIU’s expert analysis and data on the operational risk factors affecting your strategy, including current and future threats to cybersecurity, political stability and climate-change management.

Find out more

Speaker Bureau

Book the experts behind the award-winning forecasts

Empower your company with insights from EIU’s country and industry specialists. Our analysts can be booked for virtual and in-person events, internal training or decision-making meetings.

Find out more

The post The war in Ukraine: no breakthrough in 2024 appeared first on Economist Intelligence Unit.