EIU global themesInterest rate trendsAfter sharply loosening monetary policy amid the coronavirus pandemic, major central banks have tightened monetary policy in an effort to tame inflation. Although inflation is likely to ease steadily in 2023, interest rates will stay at peak levels for some time, with important implications for GDP growth, bond yields, exchange rates and economic risks. Understand how higher interest rates impact the macroeconomic outlook with EIU’s award-winning forecasts, analysis and data. Enquire now
Why financial contagion is unlikelyIn mid-March the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank, two regional US banks, triggered heightened investor uncertainty, raising the risk of bank runs and financial sector contagion. Read more
The collapse of two US banks raises the stakes for the FedTwo regional US banks, California-based Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and New York’s Signature Bank, have collapsed under the weight of heavy losses on their bond portfolios and a massive run on deposits. Read more
Consumer-led economic slowdown to hit the USUS economic data sent mixed signals throughout the first quarter of 2023. These mixed signals suggest that the US economy is at a turning point. Read more
Latin America gears up for rate cutsNotwithstanding continuing concern over the direction of the global economy, monetary policy easing is on the cards in Latin America this year. Read more
Global economic outlook 2023EIU’s global economic outlook explores how the ripple effects of the war in Ukraine, China’s exit from zero-covid policies and financial worries, including interest rates going up, are affecting global inflation and growth. Find out more
Finance outlook 2023Weakening economic output, rising interest rates and international political tensions will worsen conditions for banks, insurers and fund managers in 2023. However, the outlook for new financial challengers, including fintech and cryptocurrency sellers, is likely to be even tougher. Find out more
Global monetary policy 2023In response to soaring inflation, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have both embarked on their most aggressive monetary tightening cycles in decades at the risk of prompting a recession. This report provides businesses with foresight of the critical global trends and threats that will shape interest rates, inflation and economic activity in the year ahead. Find out more
Global monetary policy in 2023In this on-demand webinar, the team behind our global monetary policy report discussed the trends and threats affecting interest rates, inflation and economic activity in 2023. Find out more
Global economic outlook 2023In this on-demand webinar, our experts analyse the substantial factors weighing on the global economic outlook. Find out more
Finance outlook: the end of easy moneyGlobal finance firms are facing tough conditions amid slow economic growth, price spikes, unevenly rising interest rates and international political tensions. In this on-demand webinar, our industry experts analyse how these trends will affect the financial sector in the long term. Find out more
Country AnalysisPrepare for what’s aheadUnderstand the political, policy and economic outlook with EIU’s award-winning forecasts, analysis and data. Our Country Analysis service examines the global dynamics that will affect your organisation, empowering you to plan for the future. Find out more
Operational RiskIdentify, compare and mitigate risk across 180 marketsPlan effectively with EIU’s expert analysis and data on the operational risk factors affecting your strategy, including current and future threats to cyber-security, political stability and climate-change management. Find out more
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